The EU Commission's Report on Turkey and Cyprus' Position in December
by Andreas Theophanous, Professor of Political Economy and Director General of the Center
One of the most serious dilemmas faced by the Republic of Cyprus after its accession to the EU
on May 1st 2004 is its stance in December 2004 regarding the prospect of fixing a date for the
start of accession talks between the EU and Turkey. The EU Commission’s Report for Turkey
has been positive but conditional. This should not come as a surprise given that Europe is
very divided in relation to this issue. Furthermore, the Report downplays the responsibilities
of Ankara for the present situation in Cyprus. Indeed, the Annan Plan has served to take Turkey
off the hook at least in the short run. Had the Republic of Cyprus not gone through the trial
of arbitration on the Annan Plan and its subsequent rejection by the Greek-Cypriot side, things
would have been easier. Cyprus could be more demanding; of course, this does not mean that
the Republic lacks the legitimacy to raise issues of concern. What should be pointed out,
however, is the fact that the environment in which it will have to pursue them is much more difficult.
Cyprus could address the issue of setting a date for the start of accession negotiations between
the EU and Turkey taking into consideration all the relevant factors. Theoretically, there are three
different approaches and policy options:
(a) YES – without any conditions. This policy is based on the position that the European
prospects of Turkey serve the long-term interests of the Greek Cypriots, of Cyprus as
a whole, and broader interests as well.
(b) NO – this policy is based on the assessment that the accession of Turkey does
not serve either the interests of Cyprus or those of the EU.
(c) YES – under certain conditions / NO – in case such specified conditions are not
fulfilled. This approach may be more Cypro-centric.
The policy of an unconditional YES vote by Cyprus in December does not seem to make much
sense. And, in any case, no serious self-respecting country would readily offer its consent
unconditionally. We should not forget where the policy of continuous concessions – and,
indeed, without anything in return – in the Cyprus problem has led: to the popular explosion
of the 24th April 2004 and to temporarily absolving Turkey of its responsibilities for the
situation in Cyprus.
Therefore, a YES without any conditions should not be considered as a serious political option.
Considering that Cyprus’ European partners insisted that Turkey should deal with the issue of adultery
in a secular and not an Islamic spirit if it was to avoid jeopardizing its chances of getting a start date
for accession negotiations, why couldn’t Cyprus pose reasonable and legitimate demands on Turkey,
a country that not only continues to occupy almost 40% of the island’s territory, but also does not
recognize the Republic of Cyprus?
The NO option, which is based, by and large, on the position that the accession of Turkey does
not serve the interests either of Cyprus or of the EU, should not be adopted, not because this
proposition is necessarily wrong. Had the Cyprus problem not existed, this policy could have been an
option. If this had been the case, the alternative that could have been proposed would be a special
relationship between the EU and Turkey, as seems to be the prevalent view among the public
almost all in EU member countries. Be that as it may, the issue of Euro-Turkish relations is of critical
importance and Cyprus cannot shoulder this burden alone.
The third option available to the Republic of Cyprus is to cast a conditional YES vote. Both
philosophically and practically, this approach is not new in international relations or in dealings within
the EU itself. On the contrary, it is quite a common phenomenon. Consequently, if this policy option
is adopted by Cyprus, the demands to be put forward must be very carefully considered – both for
substantive as well as for tactical reasons. Among other things, it is underlined that such a policy
comprises the options of both a YES and a NO vote in December. In other words, Cyprus can declare
that a veto in December is an option that it does not want to exercise but that it will have to, if it
is left with no other choice.
The Republic of Cyprus is legitimized to demand (a) the immediate return of Famagusta to its
inhabitants within the framework of a new package of confidence-building measures, (b) a timetable
and a road map for the withdrawal of Turkish troops and (c) the contribution of Turkey towards the
settlement of the Cyprus problem. It also goes without saying that Turkey has to proceed with
the long delayed fulfillment of its obligations towards the EU, namely, to extend its Customs Union
with Cyprus, and to recognize the Republic of Cyprus.
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