The objectives of this Course Module are to:
  • Enable Young Farmers to understand the relationship between agriculture and environment, and

  • Use the information provided to plan future farming activities.

You should use the information provided to enable you to ask the right sorts of questions and get appropriate “no nonsense” answers from local experts and those authorities in your Country charged with regulating and controlling the provisions of the Common Agricultural Policy and environment protection.

A. The Development of Agriculture
1. Historical Overview
2. The Intensification of Agriculture
3. Agriculture: The problems in three dimensions

B. The Most Important Plant and Animal Species
1. Cultivated Plants

1.1 Cereals
1.2 Legumes
1.3 Specialized Cultivations
1.4 Industrial Plants
1.5 Specialized Cultivations in Tropical Countries

2. Livestock Farming
3. Agricultural Effects on Natural Resources and Human Health

3.1 Soil
3.1.1 Effects from Mechanical Cultivation
3.1.2 Effects from Irrigation
3.1.3 Effects from Fertilization
3.1.4 Effects from Pesticides
3.1.5 Effects from Various Farming Practices
3.1.6 Effects from the Use of Improved Plants
3.2 Water
3.2.1 Effects from Livestock Wastes
3.2.2 Effects from Agrochemicals
3.3 Agricultural Landscapes
3.4 Atmosphere
3.5 Biodiversity – Genetic Diversification
3.6 Livestock Effect on Environment

4. Pesticides

4.1 What Becomes of Pesticides in the Environment
4.2 Effects from the Use of Pesticides
4.2.1 Results from the Use of Pesticides into the Biological Community
4.2.2 Decrease of Available Foodstuffs
4.2.3 Decrease of Competitors
4.2.4 Decrease of Biological Invaders
4.2.5 Decrease of the Biodiversity in the Biological
Community

4.2.6 Effects on Species Succession
4.3 Effects of Pesticides on Health

5. Agricultural Waste Management

5.1 General
5.2 Agricultural Wastes
5.3 Agricultural Waste Management Systems
5.4 Agricultural Waste Management Methods
5.5 Waste per Livestock Unit Category
5.5.1 Sheep and Goat Wastes
5.5.2 Poultry Wastes
5.5.3 Cowsheds’ Wastes
5.5.4 Swine Wastes

6. Sustainable Agriculture: Advantages, Problems, Prospects

6.1 Sustainable Development
6.2 Sustainable Agriculture
6.3 Practices and Systems
6.3.1 Low Input Agriculture
6.3.2 Integrated Farming Systems
6.3.3 Organic/Biological Agriculture – Livestock
6.3.4 Reduced Land Cultivation Systems

7. New Technologies in Agriculture-Genetic Engineering

7.1 Genetic Engineering and Conventional Plant Cultivation
7.1.1 Genetic Modification
7.1.2 Examples of Genetic Modification of Plants
7.2 Consequences in Human Health
7.2.1 Allergies
7.2.2 Toxins
7.2.3 Resistance Development to Antibiotics
7.2.4 Use of GM Plants for Pharmaceutical Reasons
7.3 Consequences in Agriculture and the Environment
7.3.1 Consequences from the Use of GM Plants with High Resistance to Pesticides
7.3.2 Consequences from the Use of GM Plants with Resistance to Insects
7.3.3 Use of GM in Other Agronomic and Quality Features
7.3.4 The Irreversible Consequences of GMO Use
7.3.5 GM Plants as “Parasites” and “Invaders”
7.4 Coexistence of Genetically Modified Cultivations with
Conventional and Organic Cultivations

7.4.1 Consequences Resulting from the Coexistence of Genetically Modified and Non GM Cultivations

8. Agro-Environmental Regulations of the EU

8.1 Agro-Environmental Measures
8.2 Action Program 2000 – Cross Compliance
8.3 Agriculture and Biodiversity
8.4 Genetic Resources and Agriculture
8.5 Agriculture and Genetically Modified Organisms
8.6 Agriculture and Climate Change
8.7 Agriculture and Soil Protection
8.8 Agriculture and Pesticides
8.9 Agriculture and Nitrates Pollution
8.10 Agriculture and Water

9. Characteristics of the EU Enlargement of 2004

9.1 The Current Situation in the 2004 Enlargement Countries
9.2 The Agricultural Situation of ΕU-15
9.3 General Conclusions: Enlargement Agriculture and the Environment
9.4 Hypotheses on the Consequences of Enlargement

10. Conclusion
11. Selected Bibliography and Websites

C. Glossary

 

8   Agro-Environmental Regulations of the EU

8.1     Agro-Environmental Measures

At the end of 1980s, establishments of agro-environmental enforcements were introduced to the EU’s agricultural policy, as a measure of support for specific agricultural practices that contribute to the protection of the environment and the sustaining of the countryside. With the CAP Reform in 1992, the adoption of agro-environmental programs became obligatory for member states, in the framework of agricultural development programs. The CAP Reform of 2003 sustains the obligatory character of agro-environmental programs for the member states, while remaining optional for farmers. Additionally, the maximum amount of co-financing from the EU was increased from 60% up to 85% in some districts.

Farmers commit themselves at least for five years, to adopt environment friendly practices that exceed the customary agricultural practices, taking into account the additional loss of income which derives from the modification of agricultural practices.

Examples of commitments covered by national/district regimes of agro-environmental reinforcement are the following:

  • Environment friendly expansion of cultivations

  • Management of low strain pasture systems

  • Full management of agricultural cultivations and organic agriculture http://europa.eu.int/comm/agriculture/qual/organic/index_el.htm

  • Conservation of landscapes and historical features, like woods, ditches, fences etc

  • Sustaining of high value habitats and the biodiversity accompanies them

More than one third of the communal contribution to the development of EAFDG (European Agricultural Fund of Direction and Guarantees) was given to the application of agro-environmental measures (average term for the period 2000-2002). In the whole of EU, the percentage of agricultural lands where agro-environmental measures are applied increased from 15% in 1998, to 27% in 2001. Data of 2001 include the new agreements that were signed in 2000 and 2001 when rule no.1257/1999 was in force, and cover 16 million hectares and the commitments existing based on the previous regulation (ΕΚ)2078/92, that represent 18 million hectares. Additionally in 2001 there were 8422 agro-environmental pacts signed for the support of certain animal species that are doomed to extinction, numbering to 60,568 animals.

The EU’s demand towards member states for the application of the directive according to which a fast growth in initiatives and measures that would otherwise take too long a time to achieve, is to be endorsed. Results from the application of programs are positive and indicate that environmental advantages substantially increase due to the application of agro-environmental projects.

In particular:

Many of the projects for restraining the inflows in agriculture, resulted in the reduction of nitrogenic fertilizers as well as the adoption of better cultivation methods. Projects relevant to sustaining and improving the landscape have had positive results. Furthermore, there is an increase in certain cases in the income of the disadvantaged territories’ farmers. Despite of that, income results in the areas of intensive cultivation are relatively unimportant.

The application of agro-environmental measures resulted in the change of farmers’ attitudes, as well as in public awareness. EU reports regarding the appraisal of applied measures also indicate that the application cost is relatively small in relation to the environmental benefits. Data from areas with extensive agricultural practices demonstrate a substantial drop in production, while in disadvantaged areas production was sustained. Finally, an important success deriving from the application of agro-environmental measures is the establishment of an appraisal system, through which programs are monitored, appraised and justified in order to control the gap between tasks and results.

8.2     Action Program 2000 – Cross Compliance

The principle according to which farmers must conform to the demands for the protection of the environment, as a prerequisite to have an advantage from the market support, was incorporated in the reform under the Action Plan 2000. The 2003 CAP Reform placed a stronger emphasis on cross compliance that became obligatory.

The CAP Reform with the 2000 Action Plan demanded that member states apply environmental measures that they regard necessary, taking into consideration the condition of the land used, or the relative production. Member states had three possible choices, so as to fulfill that obligation:

  • The grant of agro-environmental commitments,

  • The definition of general obligatory environmental demands (based on the legislation about the environment) and

  • The definition of special environmental prototypes.

Starting from 2005, all farmers that will take additional enforcements will have to comply to an obligatory cross compliance (regulation no.1782/2003 of the Council and rule no796/2004 of the Committee). So, 19 legislative acts, that directly apply to the level of agricultural cultivation, to the environment, to public health, to animal and plant health and to the well-being of animals and farmers will be liable to penalties in the case of non-conformity (partial, or general reduction of direct support). People entitled to direct support will be obliged to sustain land in good agricultural and environmental condition. This situation is defined by member states and has to include prototypes regarding soil protection, preservation of organic substances and soil structure, as well as sustainability of natural habitats and the scenery, including the protection of permanent land pastures.

8.3     Agriculture and Biodiversity

The Action Plan on Biodiversity in Agriculture was approved in 2001 (http://europa.eu.int/comm/agriculture/envir/#genres).
The priorities of the action plan are the following:

  • The advancement and support of environment-friendly practices and systems that directly, or indirectly favor biodiversity

  • The support of sustainable agricultural activities with rich biodiversity

  • Restructuring and support  of infrastructure

  • Promotion of actions for sustaining local endangered plant, or animal species.

All those priorities are supported by acts of research and training. Sustaining biodiversity depends largely from sufficient data-based application of CAP measures, especially of refunds regarding disadvantageous areas and agro-environmental measures.

In April 2004 a new communal program began regarding the advancement of measures for the sustainability of genetic resources in agriculture (http://europa.eu.int/comm/agriculture/envir/biodiv/162-el.pdf).

8.4 Genetic Resources and Agriculture

In the Action Plan regarding biodiversity, the Commission suggested the application of a new communal program for the sustainability and collection of genetic resources in the collection and usage of genetic resources in agriculture. (http://europa.eu.int/comm/agriculture/envir/biodiv/162-el.pdf). This new communal program covers the period between 2004-2006, and was established from the Council on April 24, 2004 (rule no. (ΕΚ) αριθ. 870/2004)

This new program promotes genetic diversity and the exchange of information, including the close coordination between member states, including the EU, for the sustainability of genetic resources in agriculture. It also involves the coordination on a level of international obligations, regarding genetic resources.

The new program’s aim is:
To promote the activities for sustainability of genetic resources “in situ” that will constitute a way to promote and sustain genetic material of species and tribes, as well as the characterization and the usage of these varieties and tribes in agriculture. These activities will take place between states, bearing in mind, where necessary, bio-geographical district features.
To promote the information exchange, in close coordination between member states and those of the Commission as far as conservation and sustainable use of genetic resources in agriculture are concerned, according to the demands and needs of the CAP
To facilitate the coordination in the field of genetic resources in agriculture, especially the ones taken over in the framework of the pact on Biological Diversity (http://www.biodiv.org/welcome.aspx), of the International convention regarding Vegetative Genetic Resources for Food and Agriculture (http://www.fao.org/ag/cgrfa/itpgr.htm) and the World Action Plan of FAO for the Sustainable Usage of Vegetative Genetic Resources for Food and Agriculture (http://www.fao.org/waicent/search/5_dett_FAO).

8.5  Agriculture and Genetically Modified Organisms

EU legislation on genetically modified organisms (GMO) goes back to the beginnings of the 90’s and this regulatory frame has expanded and improved. Special laws are put together to protect the citizens’ health and the environment, thus creating at the same time a common market for biotechnology. An important part of the EU legislation on GMOs covers the emission of genetically modified organisms to the environment. In 2002, a new approval procedure regarding the emission on the environment, or the availability in the market of GMOs or of a product that contains, or is made of GMOs was enacted. According to the legislation regarding the regulatory frame on GMO products, it is imperative that:

  • There exists an evaluation of the “danger effect” regarding the environment and human health, in relation to the cultivation and the availability of GMO’s in the market

  • An after-sales obligatory supervision, that includes long term consequences connected to interaction between GMO’s and the environment,

  • Obligatory information campaigns regarding the public, which are to be carried out,

  • A requirement for all member states to mark and track down products throughout all stages of commerce,

  • Restriction of the duration of power of the first assignments for the emission of GMOs for a maximum of 10 years,

  • Obligatory discussion with the scientific committee(s),

  • Obligation for requiring the opinion of the European Parliament regarding the decisions for permission for the emission of GMO’s.

Since the Communal Legislation regarding GMO’s came in force, in the beginnings of the 90’s, the emission of 18 GMO’s for commercial reasons has been approved from the EU. Since October 1998, however, no more permissions were issued. Currently, the legislation on GMOs is being reexamined.

Detailed information regarding the EU legislation on GMOs is available at the following website: "Foods and animal feed security"

Questions and answers regarding the regulations that govern the
GMOs in the European Union

8.6     Agriculture and Climate Change

Agriculture is responsible for approximately 10% of gas emissions that cause the “greenhouse effect” in the EU. However, it could contribute to solution finding in the more general challenges of climate change the EU is faced with.

The European Program about climate change (ECCP /ΕΠΑΚ), in force since March 2000, includes plans about in with which the EU will respond to the commitment it made under the Kyoto Protocol, on reducing gas emissions of the greenhouse effect by 8% until 2012. The main sources of emissions of the greenhouse effect in agriculture are:

  • N2O emissions from soils, caused mainly by fertilizing with nitrogenic fertilizers

  • CH4 emissions caused by intestinal fermentations – 41% of the total of CH4emissions του συνόλου in the EU are caused by agriculture

  • Emissions of CH4 and N2O from manure handling.

  • The examined technical measures for restricting emission of of the greenhouse effect include:

  • Encouragement of more productive application of fertilizers so that their overall use is restricted, a procedure that has already began in the framework of the existing legislation on nitrogenic combinations directions about nitrogenic fertilizing (http://europa.eu.int/scalpus/leg/el/lvb/l28013.htm), fertilizing and improvement in the systems of airless fission (e.g. for the production of biogas), targeting the handling of bio-decomposition by-products and waste.

  • New emphasis on the production of biomass, in conservative ploughing and in organic agriculture.

The working team of ECCP for the reception of carbon dioxide regarding agricultural soil had as a general objective the evaluation of the carbon dioxide binding potential in EU agricultural land. According to experts’ evaluations, there is a possibility of binding to 60-70 million tons of CO2 yearly from EU(15) agricultural soils, a quantity that corresponds to 1,5-1,7% of anthropogenic emissions of CO2 in the EU. The aforementioned quantity of CO2/year would contribute 19-21% of the total reduction, by 337mil. tons CO2/year, that the EU has committed to achieve. Carbon dioxide can be fixed, either by restricting soil tillage (given that carbon emissions in the form of CO2 are larger in cultivated soils, in comparison with the less tillaged ones) or by increasing carbon inflow in the soil. At the same time, it is important to sustain existing carbon reserves and slow down carbon loss from the ground using improved management practices.

Further development of renewable, agricultural biomass, could contribute to the reduction of emissions from energy and transport branches, with parallel benefits in the agricultural sector. There are already productions of energy-cultivations in areas that are under the regime of cultivation rest. Further measures were regarded necessary. Therefore, the CAP reform of 2003 introduces a system supplying "credit in carbon", that offers farmers the economic motivation to produce biomass.

8.7 Agriculture and Soil Protection

Common agricultural policies strengthen the models for good agricultural and environmental practices, referring to soil protection from erosion and sustaining organic matter and soil structure. In a Committee announcement entitled "Towards a thematic strategy for soil protection" (http://europa.eu.int/scadplus/leg/el/lvb/l28122.htm) the cornerstones of EU action targeting the containment of soil degradation, were set. Agro-environmental measures (http://europa.eu.int/comm/agriculture/envir/measures) offer opportunities for the advancement of the enrichment of soil with organic matter, containment of erosion, pollution and compression. These measures include the support of organic agriculture, conservative ploughing, the protection and conservation of terraces, the safer use of pesticides, the integrated management of cultivations, administration of low-impact pastures systems, reduction of animal capital and usage of certified fertilizers.

Detailed information regarding EU strategy for soil protection is available on the websites “Formation of soil policy (http://europa.eu.int/comm/environment/soil/index.htm).

8.8     Agriculture and Pesticides

To reduce harmful effects of pesticides on the environment, the EU aims at ensuring their correct use and at informing the public regarding their usage and effects that might be caused by their remains. EU regulations have been issued regarding availability of plant-protective products and limits for remains in food. Detailed information on EU legislation on pesticides is available at "Plant-protection" (http://europa.eu.int/comm/food/plant/protection/index_el.htm).

Furthermore, the EU regulates quality protection of water as opposed to pesticides. The regulating framework on water, presupposes a completed framework for evaluating, monitoring and managing all surface and underground waters. The directive imposes the application of measures for the reduction of emissions, wastes and losses of dangerous substances with the purpose of protecting surface waters. Up to the year 2001, 33 primary substances had been included in a catalogue, and 13 among those were substances used in products for plant protection.

8.9     Agriculture and Nitrates Pollution

EU legislation on nitrate pollution aims at reducing pollution of water from nitrogenic combinations of agricultural origin and at containing further pollution. The management of the EU’s directive on pollution from nitrates (http://europa.eu.int/scadplus/leg/el/lvb/l28013/htm) issued in 1991, includes the following:

Observation of quality of water in relation to agricultural activities

Definition of areas vulnerable to pollution from nitrates

Definition (optional) of correct agricultural practice codes and (obligatory) measures for application in areas vulnerable to pollution from nitrates.

For these areas, the directive defines the highest limit of nitrates content in animal manure, permitted and adopted on a 170kgN/ha per year.

The adoption of the directive from member states is a complicated process. Until today, only a small number of member states have adopted fully the instruction and the Committee has initiated penalty procedures against member states for failure in application. Connection of correct agricultural practice by complying to regulating environmental models (where relevant directive on nitrates pollution is included), that was established in the frame of EU policy for agricultural development, can contribute to improved application from member states.

Detailed information is available at the website
"
Application of instruction on nitrates pollution"

8.10    Agriculture and Water

A common agricultural policy is based on investments for the improvement of the irrigation infrastructure and for giving farmers the chance to turn to improved irrigation techniques. It also protects the quality of waters as opposed to pesticides and nitrates pollution. In the announcement of the Committee "Pricing Policies – Policies for strengthening sustainability of water resources" (http://europa.eu.int/scaldus/leg/el/lvb/l28112htm) basic principles on water sector policies are applied, aiming at promoting sustainable use of water resources. In the framework of agricultural development measures we have investments for encouraging farmers to turn to improved irrigation techniques (e.g. drop by drop irrigation) are included, that do not require large quantities of water to be pumped out. Furthermore, agro-environmental measures cover the adoption of commitments for decreasing irrigation water quantities and the adoption of improved irrigation techniques.

EU also sets the rules for the protection of water quality in relation to pesticides (http://europa.eu.int/comm/agriculture/envir/#pesticides)
and nitrates pollution (http://europa.eu.int/comm/agriculture/envir/#nitrates).

Detailed information regarding EU policy on waters is available at the website:"Policy on European Union Waters" (http://europa.eu.int/comm/environment/water/index.html)

9.  Characteristics of the EU Enlargement of 2004

With the accession of 10 new countries (Enlargement Countries) – Poland, Estonia, Lithuania, Latvia, Hungary, The Czech Republic, Slovenia, Malta and Cyprus – the population of the European Union is increased by 20% and its territory by 23%. Therefore, the new European Union (ΕU) now consists of 25 member-states, has a population of millions of citizens and is the largest economic and political union of states worldwide.

Hence the EU, following the 2004 enlargement:

  • Includes various countries (like those of the ex-Eastern Block) that are still in the process of transition from a centrally planned to market economies. It also includes a country (Cyprus) whose soil is under occupation from a third country (Turkey).

  • Includes countries whose GDP barely reaches 4,58 % of EU 15, GDP (Graph 1), while GDP per capita, estimated in Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) of states of the enlargement fluctuates around an average of 40 % of the EU 15, equivalent (Kok, 2003).

  • Includes countries whose agricultural sector is large, with a minor contribution of agriculture to the GDP and the people actively involved in agriculture. In some of the Enlargement Countries a large amount of agricultural crops is considered to be «semi, or quasi-subsistence», which means capable of just covering substantial needs, while generally agricultural infrastructure is poor (Rollo, 2003). After the enlargement, around 3,87 millions of farmers will be added to the current 6,7 millions of existing farmers in the EU, an increase of 57,8 % (CEC-DG Agriculture, 2003a).

9.1 Τhe Current Situation in the 2004 Enlargement Countries

During the transitional decade, agricultural occupation in enlargement’s states had substantial fluctuations. It increased substantially in many countries during the beginnings of the 90’s and then is decreasing. Until 2000 total employment agriculture had decreased a lot in all countries, except Poland. Also, the importance of the agricultural sector was largely decreased during the transition, reaching percentages of below 10% of the GDP (OECD, 2001).

The overall economic growth of the CEE (Central Eastern Europe) during the last years was not expressed in agricultural production that has generally reached bottom. On the contrary, the demand in genetically modified food has increased. Therefore, the balance between import and export of agricultural products has been negative during the last years, or like in Hungary’s case, which is the only purely exporting country, has become worse (Pouliquen, 2001). The main exporting products of those countries are dairy products, pork, cereals, fruit and vegetable and wine (OECD, 2001) (Table 1).

All the aforementioned factors result in low productivity. In Poland, the value added per worker reaches 8% of EU. This is strictly related to the high density of employement in agriculture per quarter of an acre, which is by 3,2 times larger than that of the ΕU. The size of agricultural activity in Hungary, Czech Republic and Slovakia, are comparable to the EU average, or slightly higher. This fact makes the agricultural sectors of those countries more productive.

9.2  The Agricultural Situation of ΕU-15

The soil occupied by agriculture (Utilized Agricultural Area, UAA) consiste 39% of the total area of EU-15.

As far as the farm structure (Table 2), there is a dynamic situation that is characterized by certain general and gradual changes:

  • Reduction in the number of farms (Table 3), especially intense in small-sized agricultural cultivations, (smaller than 20ha) (Vidal, 2000).

  • Reduction of people involved in agriculture (Table 4). The only category of cultivations where an absolute increase of the people involved is observed is in cultivations larger than 50ha (Vidal, 2001).

  • Increase of the average extent per cultivation (on average, approximately 40% between 1987-97 for the 12 EU countries) and generally of the average size per agricultural cultivation (Table 5),

Increase of the concentration of agricultural economic activities, of farming income (Table 6), of the average Gross Standard Profit (GSP) and the average economic size of agricultural cultivations, as a result of the above. The concentration of agricultural economic activities is particularly intense. In 1997, 10% of the European agricultural cultivations produced 2/3 of the total Gross Standard Profit. Half of the European agricultural cultivations produced 95% of Gross Standard Profit. Therefore, the economic importance of the other half of agricultural cultivations remains irrelevant (Vidal, 2000).

More generally speaking, agriculture remains mainly a family business in the EU, since in 1997 family work force made up 79% of the total, (Vidal, 2001), while agricultural activities are basically practiced by the owners of the cultivation, or by its tenants by 98%. The percentage of the land cultivated by its owner tends to fall with the passage of time due to, firstly, the reduction in the number of small agricultural cultivations and secondly the large value of land leading to the option of renting (Vidal, 2000). The number of part time workers slightly increased in the past e.g. in 1997 it fluctuated around 75%.

As far as the age structure, an aging trend in the work force involved in agriculture is observed, a trend that is more significant than that observed in other sectors, considering that working people over 55 increased from 32% to 38% of the permanent staff, between 1980-95.

Finally, it is worth noting that the importance of agricultural land as compared to the load of work (UAA/AWU) increased in the past in all countries faster than the growth of agricultural cultivations, that is, the productivity of work is constantly increasing (Vidal, 2001).

9.3 General Conclusions: Enlargement Agriculture and the Environment

Enlargement is a strategic and political choice of the EU, that will bring few economic results in the short term, but in the long term it is expected to have substantial macroeconomic effects worldwide.

Enlargement countries will have only a small contribution to the GDP, a substantial one to the population and a greater one to the used agricultural land and the EU’ s agricultural population.

These countries are still in the transitional phase from a centrally planned to market economies and are facing a series of challenges regarding the continuation and restructuring of their economies.

Within these frameworks, it is very important to restructure an agricultural economy, which is currently faced with many institutional, administrative, legal and economic deficiencies, and (under) employs a large part of the population in the framework of survival and semi-survival cultivations, thus absorbing a large part of social strains.

Specific terms, under which the enlargement was agreed and is being realized in the agricultural sector, target exactly this restructuring of the economy (CEC, 2002a), include however a large degree of uncertainty, considering the macroeconomic environment and especially the pace of development and its consequences on employment.

Agriculture is strongly protected as a sector of economic activities, due to the multiple economic, social and environmental tasks it serves. Therefore, the consequences of enlargement in agriculture can be viewed under the scope of techniques practiced (like protectionism of prices, subsidies, structures) before and after the enlargement, for each sector of agricultural production separately and in each of the enlargement countries and the EU 15, separately.

9.4     Hypotheses on the Consequences of Enlargement

Hypotheses have been made that are mainly based on mathematical models, each of which is restricted by the factors it can include. They are, therefore, of an indicative but not irrelevant value. All hypotheses converge towards the general conclusion that the enlargement will have a minor negative effect on the agricultural income of EU-15 and a positive effect on agricultural incomes. However, some growth is predicted, such as in dairy production and in the cultivation of rice and hard wheat. As main effects, we observe increases in consumer prices, reduction of reserves as well as a reduction in exports.

It is obvious that, like in the past, the challenge for agriculture in the EU-15, lies on the response to pressures for restructuring the farms, that is, reduction in the employment and concentration of cultivations, and an increase in efficiency per Yearly Work Unit. In most Northern European countries  this pressure involves a small part of the population. On the contrary, in certain Southern countries, specifically, it involves a substantial part of the GDP and the population. In these countries, an important part of the agricultural production concerns branches in which the enlargement countries do not have substantial participation.

In conclusion, one might say that the enlargement will have only a minor impact on the EU-15’s agriculture, at least in the medium term. Besides, through bilateral agreements there preexisted a substantial degree of finalization of new member states agricultural products purchase. The enlargement, however, was a fact that needed intensification of agricultural policy reforms towards the direction that already existed, and heading to the gradual «liberalization» of world trade of agricultural products.

On the contrary, regarding the new member states, enlargement is expected to have a bigger effect on their agriculture, mainly long-term, as long as a stable and reliable structural, legal and economic frame of operation is created, that will pressurize and at the same time contribute to the restructuring of the sector.

Given that all EU policies are the result of negotiations, all future decisions are important in defining the relation of pressure-contribution, especially those that are related to the fiscal programming of the period from 2006-2013. Even though the EU-15 has tried to anticipate developments with various decisions it has taken, the participation of the new member states alters the power relations and creates new circumstances on the negotiating tables.

The equilibrium that will result -a purely structural issue- will mainly judge the funding of policy measures until 2013 and it will also be capable of, (-when and if it is achieved-), being included as one of the enlargement consequences, as well as to define a part of the consequences of the enlargement to European agriculture.

Tables

Table 1: Basic elements of agriculture, agricultural products trade and consumption for the Enlargement Countries

 

Land utilized in agriculture, 2000 1)

Categorization of land utilized in agriculture, as a % of the total, 2001 2)

Foodstuff trade, alive animals, liquor and tobacco, as a % of the total, 2000 3)

Consumption for nutrition as a % of the total consumption

 

In 1000 hectares

As a % of the total area

Arable land

Permanent meadows

Permanent plantations

Imports

Exports

      19981)

Estonia (EE)

1001

22,1

76,3

21,8

2,0

8,0

5,6

37,5

Cyprus (CY)

134

14,5

67,6

0,8

31,6

11,7

26,0

19,0

Latvia (LV)

2488

38,5

74,2

24,6

1,2

11,6

5,8

44,9

Lithuania (LT)

3489

53,4

84,0

14,3

1,7

9,0

11,1

46,0

Malta (MT)

12

38,1

91,7

-

8,3

8,2

2,6

;

Hungary (HU)

5854

62,9

77,6

18,9

3,4

2,7

6,9

42,1

Poland (PL)

18220

58,3

77,2

21,2

1,5

5,6

7,9

36,9

Slovakia (SK)

2444

49,8

63,0

35,6

1,4

5,3

3,0

31,8

Slovenia (SI)

491

24,2

34,9

58,8

6,3

5,7

3,6

23,5

Czech Rep (CZ)

4282

54,3

75,4

23,0

1,6

4,6

3,7

26,8

Enlargement Countries

38415

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

EU-15

131619

40,6

56,4

34,8

8,8

 

 

17,4

Sources: 1) CEC-DG Agriculture (2001b) 2) Eurostat (2002b), 3) CEC (2003c)

 

Table 2: Participation of the agricultural production sectors in the national agricultural income, for each member state of the ΕU-15

Production Division

Participation of the division in the total value of the agricultural production (2001) in %

 

ΕU-15

A

B

F

D

DK

EL

UK

IRL

E

IT

L

NL

P

S

FIN

Vegetable Production

52,4

44,8

43,3

56,3

50,1

38,6

71,6

37,2

20

60,7

63,7

33,1

49,9

56,2

47,4

44,2

 

Cereals

 

12,4

 

12,9

 

 

15,6

 

17,9

 

18,6

 

10

 

15,7

 

5,1

 

12,4

 

10,8

 

9

 

 

6,8

 

16,5

 

18,3

Oil seeds

1,7

1,6

 

 

3,1

1,4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0,8

Forage cultivations

 

8,9

 

7,5

 

 

 

 

7,8

 

 

 

 

5

17,5

13,9

Sugar beets

1,6

2,4

2,9

 

2,6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Potaoes

2,5

1

4,6

1,8

2,2

1,4

 

3

1,2

1,6

 

 

3,2

 

2,7

2,1

Fresh vegetables

7,5

2,4

11,2

 

3

 

12,4

5,9

 

12,7

11,8

 

10,1

11,1

 

3,9

Fruits

6,0

4,7

 

 

1,6

0,4

13,4

 

 

14,1

10,7

 

 

12,7

 

0,8

Plants and flowers

5,7

 

6,6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

25,1

6,5

 

 

Olive oil

1,8

 

 

 

 

 

12,2

 

 

4,6

4,8

 

 

1,3

 

 

Wine

4,9

7,1

 

12,6

2,2

 

 

 

 

3,5

9,5

11,1

 

8,3

 

 

Cotton

 

 

 

 

 

 

10,6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Rest not calculated

8,3

3,8

18

18,8

17,5

16,8

13

12,6

5,9

11,8

16,1

13

11,5

4,5

10,7

4,4

 

Animals

 

42,5

 

27

 

40,6

 

23,8

 

24,2

 

38,6

 

13,6

 

36,6

 

50

 

27,3

 

20,3

 

28,4

 

23,4

 

29,1

 

21,5

 

15

 

Cattle

 

8,9

 

12,5

 

15,3

 

12,3

 

8,7

 

4,7

 

 

14,7

 

34,3

 

6,6

 

8,2

 

20,9

 

6,6

 

6,1

 

9,3

 

6,8

Pigs

9,8

11,9

20,5

4,7

11,9

28

2,5

5,4

4,7

10,9

5,2

6,7

12,6

8,7

7,7

5,9

Poultry

4,3

 

4,2

4,8

2,1

 

 

 

 

3,8

 

 

3,5

8,4

 

1,9

Goat sheeps

2,0

 

 

1,2

 

 

7.2

6,8

5,8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Rest not calculated

 

2,6

0,6

0,8

1,5

5,9

11,1

9,7

5,2

6

6,9

0,8

0,7

5,9

4,5

0,4

 

Animal products

 

 

18,2

 

15

 

13,5

 

22,2

 

19

 

10.7

 

18,3

 

25,2

 

8,7

 

12,1

 

33,2

 

18,6

 

14,5

 

25,8

 

34,7

 

Milk

 

14,2

 

14,9

 

12,8

 

12

 

19,9

 

18,1

 

8.6

 

15,6

 

24,6

 

6,2

 

9,9

 

31,7

 

16,5

 

12,5

 

23

 

27,2

Eggs

1,8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1,9

 

 

 

1,5

 

 

Rest not calculated

1,5

3,3

2,2

1,5

2,3

0,9

0

2,7

0,6

0,6

2,2

1,5

2,1

0,5

2,8

7,5

 

Agricultural services

 

 

3

 

0,5

 

4

 

3,2

 

3,7

 

 

4,4

 

4,7

 

1,2

 

2,3

 

2,9

 

7,5

 

 

2,1

 

2,7

 

Secondary activities

 

 

7,1

 

0,6

 

2,3

 

0,3

 

0,1

 

4.0

 

3,5

 

 

2,5

 

1,7

 

2,4

 

0,4

 

 

3,2

 

3,4

 

Total

 

100

 

100

 

100

 

100

 

100

 

100

 

100

 

100

 

100

 

100

 

100

 

100

 

100

 

100

 

100

 

100

Source: Eurostat 2002a

 

Table 3: Reduction of the number of agricultural operations in EU-6 between 1967-1997

Member state

Number of operations variation (% of the total)

Belgium

- 69 %

France

- 60 %

Germany

- 60 %

Italy

- 22 %

Luxembourg

- 65 %

The Netherlands

- 56 %

ΕU - 6

- 43 %

Source: Vidal 2000b

 

Table 4: Variation of the number of the persons working in each sector in ΕU-9 between 1975 - 1999

 

Number of the persons in millions in ΕU-9

Tendencies 1975 1999

 

1975

1999

Millions

%

Services

48,1

78,2

+ 30,2

+ 63 %

Industry

40,9

33,7

- 7,1

-17 %

Agriculture

7,6

3,8

- 3,8

- 49 %

Total

98,6

115,8

+ 17,2

+ 17 %

Source: Vidal 2001a

 

Table 5: Collection of livestock operations between 1990-2000 in ΕU-12

 

Tendency of the number of agricultural operations with ruminants between 1990-2000, ΕU-12

Tendency UBA by agricultural operation with ruminants between 1990-2000, ΕU-12

Cattle

- 38 %

+ 48 %

- from which milk products

- 51 %

+ 64 %

- other

- 18 %

+ 56 %

Sheeps

- 27 %

+ 32 %

Goats

- 39 %

+ 64 %

Total animal capital

- 31 %

+ 47 %

Source: Vidal 2001a

 

Table 6: Historical development of the agricultural income in ΕU-15 (1995 = 100)

 

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

Austria (AT)

107,1

98,6

89,8

87,8

83,6

90,1

107,3

103,3

Belgium (BE)

93,5

102,6

106,6

100,7

93,2

101,1

109,3

100,5

France (FR)

101,8

102,3

105,9

110,5

108,3

108,2

111,9

110,8

Germany (DE)

97,8

110,7

111,9

98,7

92,5

111,5

137,5

110,7

Denmark (DK)

104,8

107,2

102,6

81,0

78,4

95,5

115,2

87,1

Greece (EL)

103,1

98,2

98,5

98,7

101,0

105,1

1209,0

114,9

United Kingdom (UK)

105,5

98,9

76,5

65,9

64,4

61,1

65,5

69,9

Irland (IE)

101,4

103,8

101,2

98,7

93,8

99,9

105,9

93,6

Spain (ES)

95,9

107,7

108,9

106,4

103,4

115,2

118,6

117,9

Italy (IT)

101,1

106,8

109,5

109,4

117,9

113,8

113,8

111,2

Luxembourg (LU)

102,6

106,5

97,9

107,5

96,7

97,6

92,4

86,9

Netherlands (NL)

102,3

98,1

105,9

95,1

88,4

85,6

89,8

80,9

Portugal (PT)

99,7

109,5

104,3

104,6

125,4

111,7

139,4

131,8

Sweden (SE)

106,3

104,2

110,4

113,0

99,7

112,2

123,6

120,7

Finland (FI)

111,6

90,0

91,7

80,9

91,9

115,8

110,6

115,6

ΕU-15

100,8

104,4

104,7

101,6

101,2

105,7

112,6

107,8

Source: Eidmann 2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
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